PAOK
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
0 - 1
FCSB


M (3'), Sastre (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Birligea (45+8')
Tanase (16'), Popescu (43'), Olaru (45+4'), Birligea (74'), Tarnovanu (86')
Olaru (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between PAOK and FCSB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 0-1 Aris
Sunday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Sepsi 0-1 FCSB
Sunday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Romanian SuperLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for FCSB had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FCSB win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
PAOKDrawFCSB
49.79% (-0.264 -0.26)23.93% (0.288 0.29)26.27% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.46% (-0.997 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.83% (-1.308 -1.31)45.17% (1.303 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-1.267 -1.27)67.51% (1.262 1.26)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.598 -0.6)18.21% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-1.029 -1.03)49.23% (1.023 1.02)
FCSB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (-0.714 -0.71)30.96% (0.709 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (-0.843 -0.84)67.26% (0.83800000000001 0.84)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.79%
    FCSB 26.27%
    Draw 23.93%
PAOKDrawFCSB
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.239 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.27%

How you voted: PAOK vs FCSB

PAOK
77.8%
Draw
11.9%
FCSB
10.3%
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