Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.