Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.

Result
FCSB	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
46.57% ( 2.69)	24.71% ( -0.14)	28.72% ( -2.55)

Both teams to score 55.85% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

-0.66)

46.87% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.63)

69.12% (

0.63)

FCSB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

0.91)

20.19% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

1.43)

52.5% (

-1.44)

Rigas Futbola Skola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

-2.09)

30.01% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

-2.59)

66.14% (

2.58)

Score Analysis

FCSB 46.57%

Rigas Futbola Skola 28.72%

Draw 24.7%

FCSB	Draw	Rigas Futbola Skola
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.62) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.7%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.28) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.72%