Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.