Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Nantes

Gudmundsson (41')
Arnar Haraldsson (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abline (70' pen.)
Cozza (73'), Castelletto (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rouen 0-1 Lille
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Drancy JA 0-4 Nantes
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Nantes
54.71% ( -1.14)	22.92% ( 0.14)	22.37% ( 1)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55% (

0.59)

44.45% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

0.57)

66.82% (

-0.57)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86% (

-0.19)

16.15% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.42% (

-0.34)

45.58% (

0.34)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13% (

1.27)

33.87% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46% (

1.36)

70.54% (

-1.36)

Score Analysis

Lille 54.71%

Nantes 22.37%

Draw 22.91%

Lille	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 54.71%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.91%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.21% Total : 22.37%