Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 6, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
3 - 1
Brest

David (7' pen., 69'), Arnar Haraldsson (44')
Andre (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ajorque (48')
Le Cardinal (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Lille
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Brest
54.8% ( -3.75)	22.89% ( 1.34)	22.3% ( 2.41)

Both teams to score 55.43% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-2.89)

44.43% (

2.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-2.86)

66.8% (

2.86)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-2.21)

16.1% (

2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.48% (

-4.2)

45.51% (

4.2)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

0.68)

33.92% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4% (

0.73)

70.59% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Lille 54.8%

Brest 22.3%

Draw 22.89%

Lille	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.54) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.62) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.51) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.71) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.89%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.3%