Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 24, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 0
Rennes

Zhegrova (45')
Mandi (40'), Alexsandro (48'), Fernandez Pardo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nagida (23'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-2 Lille
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Rennes
47.31% ( 0.54)	24.1% ( -0.06)	28.59% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 57.81% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

-0.05)

44.24% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.38% (

-0.04)

66.62% (

0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.2)

18.84% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.71% (

0.34)

50.28% (

-0.34)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.36)

28.77% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.45)

64.61% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Lille 47.31%

Rennes 28.59%

Draw 24.1%

Lille	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 47.31%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.59%