Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest3 - 1Strasbourg
Lala (12' pen.), Pereira Lage (45+1'), Del Castillo (90+2')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
We said: Brest 2-0 Strasbourg
Against only Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes do Brest have a longer current winless run at home than they do versus Strasbourg, but despite their slow start in the league, three of their four wins this season have come immediately after a Champions League matchday. Strasbourg have produced entertaining encounters on the road so far, but have just two points to show for it, with their tally of 10 goals proving insignificant due to the fact they have let in 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Strasbourg |
49.32% ( 0.28) | 24.84% ( -0.01) | 25.83% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
