Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Rouen win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.