Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Robert Diochon
Lille

Rouen
0 - 1
Lille


Brouard (35'), Emmanuel Letono Mbondi (38'), Mbock (45+1'), Goprou (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ismaily (22')
Bakker (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Coupe de France clash between Rouen and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Ginglin-Cesson 0-3 Rouen
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
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Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Rouen win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
RouenDrawLille
13.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)22.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 41.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Rouen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.53% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)85.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)16.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)46.69% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Rouen 13.72%
    Lille 63.86%
    Draw 22.4%
RouenDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 3.52%
2-0 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 15.12%
0-2 @ 13.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-3 @ 8.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 63.86%

How you voted: Rouen vs Lille

Rouen
11.8%
Draw
20.6%
Lille
67.6%
34
rhs 2.0


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