/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
-
Quentin Merlin
17'
-
Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg
86'
-
Pol Lirola
90'+5'
-
Roberto De Zerbi
90'+5'
-
Bafode Diakite
63'
-
Bafode Diakite
87'
-
Benjamin Andre
90'+2'
-
Andre Gomes
90'+2'
Marseille vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fluis-henrique.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Marseille
37%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
25.69%
▼
(-0.03)
Lille
37.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
55.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.21%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 2.5
48.79%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
29.11%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
70.89%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
14.06%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
85.94%
▼
(-0.06)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
74.29%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
25.71%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
39.37%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
60.63%
▼
(-0.09)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
74.46%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
25.53%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
39.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
60.39%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Marseille
37%
Draw
25.69%
Lille
37.31%
Marseille
1-0
@
8.92%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 37%
2-1 @ 8.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 37%
Draw
1-1
@
12.17%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.69%
Lille
0-1
@
8.96%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 37.31%
1-2 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 37.31%