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Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Marseille

St Etienne
0 - 2
Marseille


Sissoko (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rabiot (17'), Greenwood (65')
Rongier (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 5-0 St Etienne
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-2 Marseille

The best travellers in Ligue 1 so far, Marseille will have no doubt of their ability to ease past the attentions of newly-promoted Saint-Etienne this weekend. Les Verts have an impressive home record for a club new to this level, but we cannot envisage Les Olympiens dropping points at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
26.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 25.59% (0.134 0.13) 47.77% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.469 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.13% (-0.584 -0.58)51.86% (0.584 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.38% (-0.506 -0.51)73.62% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.373 -0.37)34.22% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.403 -0.4)70.92% (0.402 0.4)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28% (-0.26700000000001 -0.27)21.72% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.407 -0.41)54.88% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 26.64%
    Marseille 47.77%
    Draw 25.59%
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.97% (0.104 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.64%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Marseille

Saint-Etienne
4.2%
Draw
15.3%
Marseille
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
St Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Bouanga (9'), Gourna-Douath (86')
Mangala (45+1'), Thioub (77')
Payet (45+1' pen.), Kolodziejczak (60' og.), Dieng (68' pen.), Harit (73')
Targhalline (88')
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
3-1
St Etienne
Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Nordin (43')
Kolodziejczak (76')

Thauvin (63'), Balerdi (67'), Gonzalez (85')
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne

Sakai (30'), Sanson (45+1')
Hamouma (6'), Bouanga (75')
Macon (21'), Gourna-Douath (85')
Feb 5, 2020 8.15pm
Gameweek 23
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Fofana (61'), Khazri (65')
Payet (7'), Radonjic (85')
Amavi (25'), Radonjic (49'), Rongier (57'), Ali Mohamed (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG20155054193550
2Marseille20124443251840
3MonacoMonaco20114536241237
4Lille2098333201335
5Nice2097439261334
6Lens209652518733
7Lyon208663226630
8Brest2091103136-528
9StrasbourgStrasbourg207673332127
10Toulouse207582122-126
11Auxerre206592733-623
12Angers206592229-723
13Reims205782629-322
14NantesNantes204972430-621
15Rennes2062122730-320
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2053121943-2418
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier2043132046-2615
18Le HavreLe Havre2042141539-2414


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