Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Dec 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
0 - 2
Marseille

Sissoko (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rabiot (17'), Greenwood (65')
Rongier (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Rennes 5-0 St Etienne
Saturday, November 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Monaco
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Marseille
26.64% ( -0.08)	25.59% ( 0.13)	47.77% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13% (

-0.58)

51.86% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38% (

-0.51)

73.62% (

0.51)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77% (

-0.37)

34.22% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07% (

-0.4)

70.92% (

0.4)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28% (

-0.27)

21.72% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.12% (

-0.41)

54.88% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 26.64%

Marseille 47.77%

Draw 25.59%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.64%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.77%