Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
St Etienne
Dec 8, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Marseille
  • Ibrahim Sissoko 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Adrien Rabiot 17'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 47'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 65'

Saint-Etienne vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 4.00pm
Rennes 5 - 0 St Etienne
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Lucas Stassin

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 7.45pm
Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result

Saint-Etienne 26.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 25.59% ▲ (+0.14)
Marseille 47.77% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.13% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 2.5 51.86% ▲ (+0.59)
Over 3.5 26.38% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 73.62% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 4.5 12.24% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 4.5 87.75% ▲ (+0.34)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5 65.77% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 0.5 34.22% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 1.5 29.07% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 70.92% ▲ (+0.41)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 78.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 0.5 21.72% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 1.5 45.12% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 54.88% ▲ (+0.41)

Score analysis

Saint-Etienne 26.64%
Draw 25.59%
Marseille 47.77%
Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 26.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.17% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.59%
Marseille
0-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 47.77%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
St Etienne
Apr 3, 2022 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Marseille
  • Denis Bouanga 9' goal
  • Eliaquim Mangala 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Sada Thioub 77' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gourna-Douath 86' goal
  • goal Dimitri Payet 45'+1'
  • goal Timothee Kolodziejczak 60' (OG)
  • goal Bamba Dieng 68'
  • goal Amine Harit 73'
  • yellowcard Oussama Targhalline 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Marseille
Aug 28, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
St Etienne
  • Matteo Guendouzi 23' goal
  • Gerson 51' goal
  • Cengiz Under 68' goal
  • Pape Gueye 87' yellowcard
  • goal Timothee Kolodziejczak 32'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 42'
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 49'
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 61'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
St Etienne
May 9, 2021 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Marseille
  • Arnaud Nordin 43' goal
  • Timothee Kolodziejczak 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florian Thauvin 63'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 67'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Gonzalez 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Marseille
Sep 17, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Orange Vélodrome
St Etienne
  • Hiroki Sakai 30' yellowcard
  • Morgan Sanson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Romain Hamouma 6'
  • yellowcard Yvann Macon 21'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 75'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gourna-Douath 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
St Etienne
Feb 5, 2020 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Geoffroy Guichard
Marseille
  • Wesley Fofana 61' yellowcard
  • Wahbi Khazri 65' yellowcard
  • goal Dimitri Payet 7'
  • yellowcard Jordan Amavi 25'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radonjic 49'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 57'
  • yellowcard Abdallah Ali Mohamed 65'
  • goal Nemanja Radonjic 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Marseille
Sep 1, 2019 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Orange Vélodrome (Marseille)
St Etienne
  • Dario Benedetto 33' goal
  • Morgan Sanson 60' yellowcard
  • Jordan Amavi 66' yellowcard
  • Maxime Lopez 87' yellowcard
  • Saif-Eddine Khaoui 88' yellowcard
  • Kevin Strootman 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harold Moukoudi 14'
  • yellowcard Loic Perrin 73'

Form Data

Rennes 5 - 0 St Etienne
St Etienne 1 - 0 Montpellier
Lyon 1 - 0 St Etienne
St Etienne 2 - 0 Strasbourg
Angers 4 - 2 St Etienne
St Etienne 0 - 2 Lens
Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
Lens 1 - 3 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 3 Auxerre
Nantes 1 - 2 Marseille
Marseille 0 - 3 PSG
Montpellier 0 - 5 Marseille