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Ligue 1

Saint-Etienne
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Montpellier

St Etienne
1 - 0
Montpellier

Bouchouari (47')
Davitashvili (57'), Boakye (62'), Bouchouari (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Chotard (28'), Nzingoula (34'), Tchato (41'), Sylla (56'), Al Tamari (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 St Etienne
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMontpellier HSC
48.58% (-0.306 -0.31)23.73% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)27.69% (0.318 0.32)
Both teams to score 58.37% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.8% (0.276 0.28)43.2% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.4% (0.269 0.27)65.6% (-0.267 -0.27)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)17.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)48.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.37599999999999 0.38)28.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.463 0.46)64.74% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 48.58%
    Montpellier HSC 27.69%
    Draw 23.73%
Saint-EtienneDrawMontpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 27.69%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Montpellier

Saint-Etienne
54.3%
Draw
39.4%
Montpellier HSC
6.4%
94
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