Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rouen win with a probability of 81.3%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Ginglin-Cesson had a probability of 5.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rouen win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.94%) and 0-3 (13.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Ginglin-Cesson win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rouen would win this match.