Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.04%. A win for Reims had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Reims win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.