Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.