Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
2 - 1
St Etienne

Babicka (55'), Aboukhlal (85')
Sierro (19'), King (49'), Casseres Jr (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stassin (53')
Bouchouari (10'), Abdelhamid (49'), Appiah (61'), Stassin (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Toulouse
Saturday, December 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Marseille
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 16.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Saint-Etienne
61.95% ( 0)	21.62% ( -0)	16.43% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

0.01)

47.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

0.01)

69.59% (

-0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.25% (

14.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03% (

0.01)

42.97% (

-0.01)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01% (

41.98% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.58% (

78.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 61.94%

Saint-Etienne 16.43%

Draw 21.62%

Toulouse	Draw	Saint-Etienne
1-0 @ 11.85% 2-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.94%	1-1 @ 10.28% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.62%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.73% Total : 16.43%