Saint-Etienne
Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 22, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Marseille

St Etienne
0 - 4
Marseille


Cafaro (24'), Mouton (42'), Ekwah (59'), Abdelhamid (74'), Miladinovic (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Greenwood (22'), Rabiot (34'), Henrique (69'), Hojbjerg (81')
Rowe (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Coupe de France clash between Saint-Etienne and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 St Etienne
Friday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille
Saturday, December 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
22.15% (-0.209 -0.21)23.23% (-0.02 -0.02)54.62% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.11% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.91% (-0.157 -0.16)46.09% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.61% (-0.149 -0.15)68.39% (0.146 0.15)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)34.99% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.299 -0.3)71.73% (0.29599999999999 0.3)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)16.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 22.15%
    Marseille 54.61%
    Draw 23.23%
Saint-EtienneDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 22.15%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.49% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: St Etienne vs Marseille

Saint-Etienne
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Marseille
57.1%
14
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
St Etienne
0-2
Marseille

Sissoko (90+9')
Rabiot (17'), Greenwood (65')
Rongier (47')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
St Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Bouanga (9'), Gourna-Douath (86')
Mangala (45+1'), Thioub (77')
Payet (45+1' pen.), Kolodziejczak (60' og.), Dieng (68' pen.), Harit (73')
Targhalline (88')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
3-1
St Etienne
Guendouzi (23'), Gerson (51'), Under (68')
Gueye (87')
Kolodziejczak (32')
Khazri (42'), Macon (49'), Camara (61')
> Preview
May 9, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 36
St Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Nordin (43')
Kolodziejczak (76')

Thauvin (63'), Balerdi (67'), Gonzalez (85')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Marseille
0-2
St Etienne

Sakai (30'), Sanson (45+1')
Hamouma (6'), Bouanga (75')
Macon (21'), Gourna-Douath (85')
> Preview