Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Reims had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Nice |
| 29.56% ( | 24.76% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( | 46.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( | 68.89% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( | 20.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( | 52.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0-3 @ 3.99% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.69% |