Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 3, 2025 at 8pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
3 - 2
Rennes

Guessand (12'), Diop (34'), Laborde (45+5')
Boudaoui (10'), Diop (66'), Ndayishimiye (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kalimuendo (27'), Truffert (49')
Assignon (31'), Matusiwa (61'), Sampaoli (61'), Blas (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Corte 1-1 Nice (3-5 pen.)
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Bordeaux 1-4 Rennes
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Rennes
39.22% ( 0.41)	25.19% ( 0.02)	35.59% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 56.97% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

-0.13)

46.62% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

-0.12)

68.89% (

0.12)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47% (

0.16)

23.53% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.42% (

0.22)

57.57% (

-0.22)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.3)

25.49% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

-0.41)

60.33% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Nice 39.22%

Rennes 35.59%

Draw 25.19%

Nice	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.22%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.59%