Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 1, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 5
PSG

Del Castillo (50'), Ajorque (71')
Sima (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dembele (29', 57', 62'), Ramos (89', 90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
15.63% ( 0.32)	19.73% ( 0.13)	64.64% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53% (

0.07)

40.47% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.15% (

0.07)

62.85% (

-0.06)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.2% (

0.46)

38.8% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.47% (

0.43)

75.53% (

-0.43)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

-0.1)

11.8% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.98% (

-0.22)

37.02% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Brest 15.63%

Paris Saint-Germain 64.63%

Draw 19.73%

Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 15.63%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.73%	0-2 @ 10.45% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.63%