Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 94%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Espaly-Saint-Marcel had a probability of 1.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (13.91%) and 0-2 (12.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.2%), while for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win it was 1-0 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Espaly-Saint-Marcel	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1.19% ( 0.03)	4.8% ( 0.15)	94% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 27% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.03% (

-0.73)

23.97% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.44% (

-0.98)

43.56% (

0.98)

Espaly-Saint-Marcel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

27.71% (

-0.26)

72.28% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.25% (

-0.08)

95.75% (

0.09)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.44% (

-0.11)

2.56% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.05% (

-0.43)

11.95% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1.19%

Paris Saint-Germain 93.98%

Draw 4.8%

Espaly-Saint-Marcel	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
Other @ 1.19% Total : 1.19%	1-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 4.8%	0-3 @ 15.18% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 12.43% ( 0.31) 0-5 @ 10.19% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.25) 0-6 @ 6.23% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 3.31% ( -0.08) 0-7 @ 3.26% ( -0.13) 1-6 @ 2.02% ( -0.08) 0-8 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) 1-7 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.64% Total : 93.98%