Coupe de France | Round of 64
Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
 
Dijon

Espaly-Saint-Marcel
1 - 1
Dijon

Gjeci (73')
Russo (45')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lembezat (70')
Vargas Rios (44')
Espaly-Saint-Marcel win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Espaly-Saint-Marcel and Dijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espaly-Saint-Marcel

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Last Game: Couzeix-Chaptelat 0-3 Espaly-Saint-Marcel
Sunday, December 1 at 12.30pm in Coupe de France
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Dijon

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Chambery 0-2 Dijon
Friday, November 29 at 7pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dijon win with a probability of 89.95%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Espaly-Saint-Marcel had a probability of 2.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dijon win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-4 (11.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win it was 1-0 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Espaly-Saint-MarcelDrawDijon
2.28% (-0.019 -0.02)7.77% (-0.0111 -0.01)89.95% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Both teams to score 29.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)32.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)53.86% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Espaly-Saint-Marcel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.14% (-0.179 -0.18)68.86% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.45% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)94.55% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Dijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)4.43% (0.0070999999999994 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.77% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)18.22% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2.28%
    Dijon 89.94%
    Draw 7.77%
Espaly-Saint-MarcelDrawDijon
1-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 2.28%
1-1 @ 3.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 7.77%
0-3 @ 15.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 14.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-4 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
0-5 @ 7.48% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.48% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-6 @ 3.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 2.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.73%
1-6 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 89.94%

How you voted: Espaly-Saint-Marcel vs Dijon

Espaly-Saint-Marcel
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Dijon
61.5%
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