Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Couzeix-Chaptelat had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espaly-Saint-Marcel win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Couzeix-Chaptelat win it was 2-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espaly-Saint-Marcel would win this match.