Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.