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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Saint-Etienne

PSG
2 - 1
St Etienne

Dembele (13', 23' pen.)
Beraldo (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Davitashvili (64')
Mouton (58'), Bouchouari (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, January 5 at 4.30pm in Trophee des Champions
Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Reims
Saturday, January 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-0 Saint-Etienne

PSG enter this encounter as clear favourites, buoyed by their record against the Greens and their formidable form on home turf. The visitors, despite experiencing a manager bounce following their recent success against Reims, are expected to struggle given their dismal away form, compounded by a porous defence that has shipped 27 goals - the highest in the division - making a home win the likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawSaint-Etienne
84.63% (0.101 0.1) 10.07% (-0.084 -0.08) 5.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.334 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.39% (0.408 0.41)24.61% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.59% (0.534 0.53)44.41% (-0.535 -0.54)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.95% (0.084000000000003 0.08)4.05% (-0.0859 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.96% (0.268 0.27)17.03% (-0.27 -0.27)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.26% (0.302 0.3)47.74% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.96% (0.223 0.22)83.04% (-0.22399999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 84.62%
    Saint-Etienne 5.3%
    Draw 10.07%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawSaint-Etienne
3-0 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.94% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 6.3% (0.047 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-0 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 4.04% (0.056 0.06)
6-0 @ 2.92% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (0.037 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.16% (0.043 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.49% (0.033 0.03)
7-0 @ 1.34% (0.024 0.02)
7-1 @ 0.99% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 84.62%
1-1 @ 4.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.93% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 10.07%
1-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 5.3%

How you voted: PSG vs St Etienne

Paris Saint-Germain
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
Saint-Etienne
0.0%
47
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
PSG
3-1
St Etienne
Mbappe (42', 47'), Pereira (52')
Gueye (56'), Marquinhos (90')
Bouanga (16')
Mangala (9')
Nov 28, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 15
St Etienne
1-3
PSG
Bouanga (23')
Sissoko (18'), Boudebouz (32'), Camara (35')
Kolodziejczak (45')
Marquinhos (45+1', 90+1'), Di Maria (79')
Bernat (33')
Apr 18, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 33
PSG
3-2
St Etienne
Mbappe (79', 87' pen.), Icardi (90+4')
Kimpembe (85')
Bouanga (78'), Hamouma (90+1')
Neyou (57')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
St Etienne
1-1
PSG
Hamouma (19')
Retsos (77')
Kean (22')
Draxler (83')
Jul 24, 2020 8.10pm
Final
PSG
1-0
St Etienne
Neymar (14')
Bakker (29'), Paredes (29'), Verratti (31'), Marquinhos (35')

Macon (2'), Hamouma (29'), Moulin (29'), Camara (37'), M'Vila (51'), Fofana (90')
Perrin (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille21134445252043
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest21101103336-331
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre216692935-624
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2153131945-2618
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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