Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
84.63% (![]() | 10.07% (![]() | 5.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.39% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.59% (![]() | 44.41% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% (![]() | 4.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.96% (![]() | 17.03% (![]() |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.26% (![]() | 47.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.96% (![]() | 83.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
3-0 @ 10.62% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 4.58% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.07% | 1-2 @ 1.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 5.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 43 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |