Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
2 - 1
St Etienne

Dembele (13', 23' pen.)
Beraldo (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Davitashvili (64')
Mouton (58'), Bouchouari (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Monaco
Sunday, January 5 at 4.30pm in Trophee des Champions

Goals
for

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Reims
Saturday, January 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.63%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Saint-Etienne
84.63% ( 0.1)	10.07% ( -0.08)	5.3% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.39% (

0.41)

24.61% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.59% (

0.53)

44.41% (

-0.54)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.95% (

0.08)

4.05% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.96% (

0.27)

17.03% (

-0.27)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

0.3)

47.74% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96% (

0.22)

83.04% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 84.62%

Saint-Etienne 5.3%

Draw 10.07%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Saint-Etienne
3-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.22% Total : 84.62%	1-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.83% Total : 10.07%	1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 5.3%