Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 1
Brest

Sangante (1'), Ayew (4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ajorque (25')
Camara (7'), Faivre (22'), Ajorque (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Brest
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Brest
21.79% ( 0.3)	24.69% ( 0.08)	53.51% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 49.16% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.57% (

0.01)

52.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.89% (

0.01)

74.1% (

-0.01)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1% (

0.31)

38.89% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.38% (

0.29)

75.62% (

-0.3)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

-0.15)

19.55% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

-0.24)

51.45% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 21.8%

Brest 53.5%

Draw 24.68%

Le Havre	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.8%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.12% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.5%