Brest logo
Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Nantes

Brest
2 - 1
Nantes

Sima (24'), Chardonnet (34')
Balde (87'), Ndiaye (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Guirassy (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Brest and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Friday, January 10 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
BrestDrawNantes
45.46% (-0.251 -0.25)25.51% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)29.02% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.42% (0.363 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (0.383 0.38)50.14% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (0.34 0.34)72.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (0.048999999999992 0.05)22.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (0.071000000000005 0.07)55.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.423 0.42)31.48% (-0.423 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.487 0.49)67.87% (-0.48599999999999 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Brest 45.46%
    Nantes 29.02%
    Draw 25.51%
BrestDrawNantes
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 45.46%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.01% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.02%

How you voted: Brest vs Nantes

Brest
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Nantes
11.1%
18
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 15
Brest
4-1
Nantes
Doumbia (24'), Chardonnet (27'), Sima (88', 90+3')
Chardonnet (15'), Magnetti (54'), Camara (76')
Douglas (48')
Castelletto (46'), Pallois (58'), Chirivella (60')
> Preview
May 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
Brest
0-0
Nantes
Locko (21'), Lala (59'), Doumbia (87'), Doumbia (93')
Traore (54'), Chirivella (89')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-2
Brest

Lafont (78')
Magnetti (49'), Mounie (57')
Camara (28'), Le Douaron (86'), Satriano (90')
> Preview
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-0
Nantes
Le Douaron (18'), Pereira Lage (35')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Nantes
4-1
Brest
Simon (35' pen.), Ganago (36'), Mohamed (71'), Sissoko (88')
Fadiga (18')
> Preview