Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 11, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 1
Lyon

Camara (8'), Ajorque (25')
Fernandes (55')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Veretout (45+2')
Tessmann (57'), Caleta-Car (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Angers 2-0 Brest
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, January 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lyon
31.56% ( -0.05)	24.64% ( 0)	43.8% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.68% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

-0.05)

45.2% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

-0.05)

67.54% (

0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75% (

-0.06)

27.25% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32% (

-0.07)

62.68% (

0.08)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

20.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66% (

53.34% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Brest 31.56%

Lyon 43.8%

Draw 24.64%

Brest	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.8%