Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2025 at 8pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
1 - 0
Montpellier

Fayad (90+1' og.)
Veretout (64'), Veretout (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (53')
Sagnan (50'), Maksimovic (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Feignies-Aulnoye 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Puy 4-0 Montpellier
Saturday, December 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
66.13% ( 1.7)	18.7% ( -0.53)	15.17% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.46% (

0.13)

36.53% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.31% (

0.14)

58.68% (

-0.14)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.71% (

0.46)

10.28% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.32% (

1.04)

33.68% (

-1.04)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07% (

-1.37)

36.93% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28% (

-1.39)

73.72% (

1.39)

Score Analysis

Lyon 66.13%

Montpellier HSC 15.17%

Draw 18.7%

Lyon	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 66.13%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.7%	1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.17%