Ligue 1
Gameweek
16
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-
Jordan Veretout
64'
-
Jordan Veretout
66'
-
Khalil Fayad
90'+1'
-
Modibo Sagnan
50'
-
53'
-
Jordan Ferri
53'
-
Nikola Maksimovic
64'
Lyon vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Lyon
66.13%
▲
(+1.71)
Draw
18.7%
▼
(-0.54)
Montpellier HSC
15.17%
▼
(-1.18)
Both Teams to Score:
56.58%
▼
(-0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.46%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
36.53%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
41.31%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
58.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
23.2%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 4.5
76.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
89.71%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 0.5
10.28%
▼
(-0.47)
Over 1.5
66.32%
▲
(+1.04)
Under 1.5
33.68%
▼
(-1.05)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
63.07%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 0.5
36.93%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 1.5
26.28%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 1.5
73.72%
▲
(+1.40)
Score analysis
Lyon
66.13%
Draw
18.7%
Montpellier HSC
15.17%
Lyon
2-0
@
9.83%
▲
(+0.32)
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.30)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.17)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 66.13%
2-1 @ 9.79% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▲ (+0.39)
3-1 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.30)
4-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.17)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 4.91%
Total : 66.13%
Draw
1-1
@
8.61%
▼
(-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.7%
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.7%
Montpellier HSC
1-2
@
4.29%
▼
(-0.28)
0-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.17%
0-1 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.17%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Gameweek
21
-
Arnaud Nordin
23'
-
Jordan Ferri
90'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
28'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
74'
-
Maxence Caqueret
82'
-
Gift Orban
90'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
2
-
Sinaly Diomande
13'
-
Johann Lepenant
29'
-
Bradley Barcola
45'+4'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
69'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
80'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
83'
-
Arnaud Nordin
20'
-
Moussa Al Tamari
39'
-
Boubakar Kouyate
51'
-
Moussa Al Tamari
66'
-
Akor Adams
89'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
34
-
Alexandre Lacazette
31'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
59'
-
Dejan Lovren
70'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
82'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
90'+10'
-
Elye Wahi
40'
-
Elye Wahi
41'
-
Elye Wahi
53'
-
Elye Wahi
55'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
12
-
Elye Wahi
70'
-
Houssem Aouar
33'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
90'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
34
-
Moussa Dembele
26'
-
Thiago Mendes
43'
-
Houssem Aouar
63'
-
Karl Toko Ekambi
68'
-
Jerome Boateng
75'
-
Malo Gusto
89'
-
Houssem Aouar
90'+1'
-
Ambroise Oyongo
28'
-
Nicolas Cozza
42'
-
Elye Wahi
45'+1'
-
Teji Savanier
45'+3'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
15
-
Jordan Ferri
68'
-
Lucas Paqueta
17'
-
Islam Slimani
29'
-
Maxence Caqueret
40'
-
Jerome Boateng
45'
-
Emerson Palmieri
67'