Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Le Puy F43 Auvergne win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.