Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win with a probability of 66.86%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Agde had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.05%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Agde win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Puy F43 Auvergne would win this match.