/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fhavlog.png)
-
25'
-
Valentin Rongier
25'
-
Bilal Nadir
39'
-
Neal Maupay
43'
-
Bilal Nadir
45'+5'
-
Elye Wahi
66'
-
Ulisses Garcia
75'
-
Andre Ayew
85'
Marseille vs Le Havre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Froberto-de-zerbi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
62.14%
▲
(+0.13)
Draw
21.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Le Havre
16.58%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
50.85%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
45.68%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
31.99%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
68.01%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
16.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
83.93%
▼
(-0.02)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
85.86%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
14.14%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
58.21%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
41.79%
▼
(-0.09)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5
59.22%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
40.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
22.64%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
77.36%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Marseille
62.12%
Draw
21.28%
Le Havre
16.58%
Marseille
1-0
@
11.27%
2-0 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 62.12%
2-0 @ 11.03% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 62.12%
Draw
1-1
@
10.11%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.28%
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.28%
Le Havre
0-1
@
5.17%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.58%
1-2 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.58%
Rassoul N'Diaye
40'