Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 3
Strasbourg

FT(HT: 0-2)

Diarra (28'), Nanasi (32'), Santos (90')
Sobol (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 0-0 Reims
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Strasbourg
32.75% ( 0.18)	26.89% ( 0.02)	40.37% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

-0.02)

54.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

-0.02)

75.72% (

0.02)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

0.12)

31.01% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

0.13)

67.32% (

-0.13)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

-0.12)

26.42% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

-0.15)

61.58% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 32.75%

Strasbourg 40.36%

Draw 26.88%

Le Havre	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.75%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.36%