Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 2
Lens

Ayew (8')
Ayew (34'), Youte Kinkoue (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Koyalipou (28'), Machado (77')
Thomasson (13'), Koffi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 0-1 Toulouse
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.41%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Lens
12.55% ( 0.06)	20.55% ( 0.02)	66.9% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.03)

50.57% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.02)

72.49% (

-0.03)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.4% (

0.12)

49.59% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.62% (

0.08)

84.37% (

-0.09)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.76% (

-0.02)

14.23% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.01% (

-0.04)

41.98% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 12.55%

Lens 66.89%

Draw 20.55%

Le Havre	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 12.55%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.55%	0-1 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 13.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 66.89%