Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps

Auxerre
2 - 2
Lens

Perrin (31'), Osho (73')
Sinayoko (21'), Mensah (52'), Joly (64')

FT(HT: 1-2)

El Aynaoui (22'), N'Zola (45')
El Aynaoui (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 PSG
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Auxerre	Draw	Lens
30.51% ( -0)	26.96% ( -0)	42.53% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.75% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.74% (

0.02)

55.25% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

0.01)

76.48% (

-0.01)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.96% (

33.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.37% (

69.63% (

-0)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

0.01)

25.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38% (

0.02)

60.62% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Auxerre 30.51%

Lens 42.52%

Draw 26.95%

Auxerre	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.51%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.52%