Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.