Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Jan 5, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
0 - 1
Toulouse

Frankowski (8'), Danso (31'), Fulgini (64'), Koffi (77'), Ojediran (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aboukhlal (73' pen.)
Cresswell (10'), Gboho (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSG (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Hauts Lyonnais 0-0 Toulouse (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Lens	Draw	Toulouse
45.93% ( -0.05)	26.02% ( 0.3)	28.05% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.21% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.28% (

-1.37)

52.72% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.64% (

-1.18)

74.35% (

1.18)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0.6)

22.91% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

-0.89)

56.67% (

0.89)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.92)

33.56% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-1.02)

70.2% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 45.93%

Toulouse 28.05%

Draw 26.02%

Lens	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.05%