Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Brest had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.