Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Jan 11, 2025 at 8.05pm UK

Roazhon Park

Rennes
1 - 2
Marseille

Kalimuendo (43')
Hateboer (63'), Assignon (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Greenwood (45'), Rabiot (49')
Balerdi (90+2'), Cornelius (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 3-2 Rennes
Friday, January 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Marseille
36.97% ( -0.13)	25.73% ( 0.05)	37.31% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

-0.22)

48.95% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

-0.2)

71.03% (

0.2)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.17)

25.8% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

-0.24)

60.75% (

0.24)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

-0.05)

25.61% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

-0.07)

60.49% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Rennes 36.97%

Marseille 37.31%

Draw 25.72%

Rennes	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.97%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.31%