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Champions League

Stuttgart
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
PSG logo

Stuttgart
1 - 4
PSG

Pacho (78' og.)
Stiller (53'), Karazor (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Barcola (6'), Dembele (17', 35', 54')
Neves (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Stuttgart and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Reims
Saturday, January 25 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawParis Saint-Germain
36.37% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)23.56% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)40.07% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.06% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (0.082000000000001 0.08)38.76% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (0.087000000000003 0.09)61.07% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.47% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (0.035999999999994 0.04)54.5% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (0.055999999999997 0.06)19.7% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.3% (0.090000000000003 0.09)51.7% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 36.37%
    Paris Saint-Germain 40.07%
    Draw 23.56%
StuttgartDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 40.07%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs PSG

Stuttgart
16.5%
Draw
24.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
58.8%
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