Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.