Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 60.35%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 20% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-3 (7.2%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 (5.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.