Champions League
Dec 11, 2024 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Julian Alvarez 16' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 42' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 57' goal
  • goal David Strelec 51'

Atletico Madrid vs Slovan Bratislava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 5.45pm
Sparta Prague 0 - 6 Atletico

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2024 5.45pm
Slovan Bratislava 2 - 3 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 62.3% (-1.90)
Draw 20.34% (+0.54)
Slovan Bratislava 17.36% (+1.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.73% (+1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.96% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.04% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 37.6% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 62.4% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 20.24% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 79.76% (-0.05)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 87.68% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 12.32% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 61.89% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 38.11% (+1.08)

Slovan Bratislava Goals

Over 0.5 63.56% (+1.67)
Under 0.5 36.44% (-1.67)
Over 1.5 26.77% (+1.65)
Under 1.5 73.23% (-1.65)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 62.3%
Draw 20.34%
Slovan Bratislava 17.36%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.42)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.45)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 3.5% (+0.10)
4-2 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% (+0.22)
2-2 @ 5.02% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.34%
Slovan Bratislava
1-2 @ 4.79% (+0.32)
0-1 @ 4.53% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.18)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 17.36%