Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
4 - 0
Freiburg

Rouault (2'), Demirovic (17'), Woltemade (45+5' pen.), Undav (80')
Vagnomann (11'), Millot (45+5'), Karazor (53'), Bruun Larsen (82'), Undav (84')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Osterhage (15'), Lienhart (45+5'), Makengo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
70.28%	17.2%	12.52% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.4% (

0.01)

35.6% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

0.01)

57.66% (

-0.01)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95%

9.05% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.21% (

30.79% (

-0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.93% (

0.01)

40.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.29% (

0.01)

76.71% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 70.27%

Freiburg 12.52%

Draw 17.2%

Stuttgart	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.66% 4-0 @ 5.03% 4-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.01% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.63% Total : 70.27%	1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.2%	1-2 @ 3.64% 0-1 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.6% Total : 12.52%