Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Weiper (29', 29'), Caci (86')
Sano (16'), Sano (16'), Weiper (36'), Weiper (36'), Zentner (41'), Zentner (41'), Jae-sung (45+2'), Jae-sung (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Karazor (57'), Karazor (57'), Stiller (68'), Chabot (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz
Sunday, January 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-3 Stuttgart
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
26.48% ( 0.05)	23% ( -0.05)	50.53% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.88% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26% (

0.29)

40.74% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88% (

0.29)

63.12% (

-0.29)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

0.19)

28.47% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

0.24)

64.24% (

-0.23)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

0.11)

16.28% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.17% (

0.19)

45.83% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 26.48%

Stuttgart 50.53%

Draw 23%

Mainz 05	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 26.48%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 50.53%