Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Union Berlin
Jan 19, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Mainz
  • Nadiem Amiri 5' goal
  • Robert Skov 24' goal
  • Aljoscha Kemlein 32' yellowcard
  • Leopold Querfeld 86' yellowcard
  • goal Benedict Hollerbach 1'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 26'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 32'

Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2025 7.30pm
Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Benedict Hollerbach

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result

Union Berlin 45.48% ▲ (+0.71)
Draw 25.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Mainz 05 28.65% ▼ (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% ▼ (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.24% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 2.5 51.76% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 26.47% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 73.53% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 12.3% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 87.7% ▲ (+0.28)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 77.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 22.71% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 43.62% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 56.37% ▼ (-0.18)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 67.4% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 32.59% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 30.87% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 1.5 69.13% ▲ (+0.91)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 45.48%
Draw 25.86%
Mainz 05 28.65%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.97% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.86%
Mainz 05
0-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 28.65%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Mainz
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mewa Arena
Union Berlin
  • Dominik Kohr 7' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 53' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 52'
  • goal Laszlo Benes 74'
  • yellowcard Robin Gosens 90'+8'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Mainz
Feb 7, 2024 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mewa Arena
Union Berlin
  • Ludovic Ajorque 15' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 45'+8' goal
  • Dominik Kohr 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 53'
  • goal Robin Gosens 45'+13'
  • yellowcard Diogo Leite 79'
  • yellowcard Janik Haberer 84'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Union Berlin
Aug 20, 2023 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Mainz
  • Kevin Behrens 1' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 9' goal
  • Kevin Behrens 10' yellowcard
  • Kevin Behrens 70' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 31'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 51'
  • yellowcard Danny da Costa 58'
  • goal Anthony Caci 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 79'
  • yellowcard Sepp van den Berg 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 90'+90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Union Berlin
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Kevin Behrens 32' goal
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 84' goal
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Mainz
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Karim Onisiwo 5' yellowcard
Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Union Berlin
Feb 26, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Mainz
  • Genki Haraguchi 8' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 42' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 56' goal
  • Paul Jaeckel 67' yellowcard
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 75' goal
  • Timo Baumgartl 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Rani Khedira 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 12'
  • yellowcard Alexander Hack 18'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 58'
  • redcard Dominik Kohr 60'
  • goal Delano Burgzorg 90'
  • yellowcard Kevin Stoger 90'+2'

Form Data

Union Berlin 0 - 2 Augsburg
Heidenheim 2 - 0 Union Berlin
Werder Bremen 4 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 VfL Bochum
Stuttgart 3 - 2 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 VfL Bochum
Frankfurt 1 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 1 Bayern
Wolfsburg 4 - 3 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 0 Hoffenheim