Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kratzig (17'), Beck (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Trimmel (76')
Rothe (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
39.9% ( -0.02)	26.08% ( 0.06)	34.02% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

-0.23)

50.76% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

-0.21)

72.66% (

0.21)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.12)

25.03% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.16)

59.71% (

0.16)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

-0.14)

28.41% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

-0.17)

64.16% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 39.9%

Union Berlin 34.02%

Draw 26.07%

Heidenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.02%