Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18

Jan 18, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 2
PSG

N'Zola (36')
Machado (45'), Thomasson (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (59'), Barcola (86')
Vitinha (29'), Mayulu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 1-2 Lens
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Espaly-Saint-Marcel 2-4 PSG
Wednesday, January 15 at 8pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
20.98% ( -0.04)	21.11% ( 0.09)	57.91% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 59.68% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.06% (

-0.51)

37.94% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.8% (

-0.55)

60.19% (

0.55)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.53% (

-0.34)

31.47% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

-0.39)

67.86% (

0.39)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.08% (

-0.18)

12.92% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.64% (

-0.37)

39.36% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Lens 20.98%

Paris Saint-Germain 57.91%

Draw 21.11%

Lens	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.98%	1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.11%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 57.91%