Champions League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
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Mathias Pereira Lage
10'
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Rodrygo
27'
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Aurelien Tchouameni
29'
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Antonio Rudiger
35'
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Jude Bellingham
56'
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Carlo Ancelotti
64'
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Jude Bellingham
74'
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Rodrygo
78'
Brest vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fbrerma_3.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F51%2Frodrygo.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Fkylian-mbappe.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Brest
20.87%
▼
(-0.56)
Draw
22.48%
▼
(-0.25)
Real Madrid
56.65%
▲
(+0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
54.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.65%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 2.5
44.35%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 3.5
33.28%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 3.5
66.73%
▼
(-0.37)
Over 4.5
17%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
83.01%
▼
(-0.27)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
64.77%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
35.24%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
28.01%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
71.99%
▲
(+0.35)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
84.55%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
15.45%
▼
(-0.41)
Over 1.5
55.69%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
44.31%
▼
(-0.75)
Score analysis
Brest
20.87%
Draw
22.48%
Real Madrid
56.64%
Brest
1-0
@
5.68%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.87%
2-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.87%
Draw
1-1
@
10.6%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.48%
0-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.48%
Real Madrid
0-1
@
10.16%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.67)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.64%
1-2 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 5.91% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.05)
0-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-96.67)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.64%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F43%2Fvinicius-junior_1.jpg)
Feature
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F05%2Fmbapbr.jpg)