/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frevlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frmilog.png)
-
Mario Martin Rielves
15'
-
Selim Amallah
45'+2'
-
Mario Martin Rielves
90'
-
Kylian Mbappe
30'
-
Jude Bellingham
45'+2'
-
Dani Ceballos
47'
-
Kylian Mbappe
55'
-
Kylian Mbappe
57'
-
Kylian Mbappe
90'+1'
Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F04%2Fkylian-mbappe_2.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F01%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F04%2Frmasal.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F39%2Fvinicius-jr.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F45%2Fvinicius-junior.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Valladolid Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.86%
0-0 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.11)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.07)
0-4 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.06)
2-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 64.73%
Head to Head
-
Federico Valverde
50'
-
Arda Guler
52'
-
Brahim Diaz
88'
-
Endrick
90'+6'
-
Maranhao
28'
-
Rodrygo
22'
-
Karim Benzema
29'
-
Karim Benzema
32'
-
Karim Benzema
36'
-
Marco Asensio
73'
-
Lucas Vazquez
90'+1'
-
Karim Benzema
83'
-
Karim Benzema
89'
-
Ruben Alcaraz
60'
-
Nacho
71'
-
Fabian Orellana
76'
-
Oscar Plano
85'
-
Casemiro
65'
-
Lucas Vazquez
69'
-
Sergio Arribas
78'
-
Vinicius Junior
65'
-
Casemiro
78'
-
Marcelo
90'+3'
-
Bruno
71'
-
Borja Fernandez
10'
-
Raphael Varane
36'
-
Luka Modric
57'
-
Nacho
76'
-
Nacho
78'
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fjuma-bah.jpg)