Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%).