Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
5 - 2
Celta Vigo

Mbappe (37'), Junior (48'), Endrick (108', 119'), Valverde (112')
Asencio del Rosario (90+1'), Endrick (109')

FT
(aet)

Bamba (83'), Alonso (90+1' pen.)
Villar (96'), Alonso (101'), Starfelt (101'), Iglesias (111')

Reaction

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Jan 17, 07:38

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona
Sunday, January 12 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, January 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-2 (5.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%).

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
59.32% ( 0.45)	20.33% ( 0.35)	20.36% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 61.54% (

-2.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.95% (

-2.85)

35.05% (

2.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.96% (

-3.25)

57.04% (

3.25)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.39% (

-0.76)

11.61% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.4% (

-1.66)

36.6% (

1.66)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

-2.37)

30.38% (

2.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-2.92)

66.57% (

2.92)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 59.32%

Celta Vigo 20.36%

Draw 20.33%

Real Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.85) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.66% Total : 59.32%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.49) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 20.36%