Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Celta Vigo
41.4% ( -0.28)	27.26% ( -0.1)	31.34% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.2% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.88% (

0.49)

56.11% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82% (

0.4)

77.18% (

-0.39)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

0.08)

26.69% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

0.1)

61.94% (

-0.1)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

0.53)

32.89% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

0.58)

69.47% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 41.4%

Celta Vigo 31.34%

Draw 27.25%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.4%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.34%