Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Sporting Gijon
41.85% ( 0)	28.35% ( -0.01)	29.8% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.48% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

0.06)

60.51% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

0.05)

80.63% (

-0.05)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

0.03)

28.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

0.04)

64.3% (

-0.04)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.63% (

0.04)

36.37% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.84% (

0.04)

73.16% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 41.85%

Sporting Gijon 29.79%

Draw 28.34%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 41.85%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.79%

How you voted: Racing vs Sporting Gijon

Racing de Santander

36.4%

Draw

9.1%

Sporting Gijon

54.5%

Head to Head

Sep 14, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 5

Racing

1-0

Sporting Gijon

Michelin (40')
Vicente (66'), Ezkieta (84')

Rosas (66'), Garcia Carrasco (68'), Caicedo (73'), Campuzano (90+7'), Angel (90+7')

Aug 10, 2024 6pm

Club Friendlies 3

Racing

1-1

Sporting Gijon

Celorio Garcia (84')

Queipo (90')

Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 33

Sporting Gijon

2-3

Racing

Durdevic (24'), Campos (76')
Martin (32'), Pascanu (45'), Rivera (64'), Izquierdoz (67'), Queipo (71'), Gonzalez (79'), (90+5')
Izquierdoz (90+6'), (90+6')

Carlos Arana (63', 88'), Fernandez (90+11' pen.)
Hernando (13'), Garcia (26'), Sanchez (29'), Sainz-Maza (40'), Carlos Arana (89')

Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 10

Racing

3-2

Sporting Gijon

Martin (28'), Fernandez (48'), Zenitagoia (83')
Alberto Lopez Menendez (38'), Vicente (39'), Grenier (41'), Sangalli (75'), Martin (90+5')

Campos (32', 63')
Mesa (37'), Villalba (86'), Mendez (90+5'), Rivera (90')

Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 23

Racing

2-0