Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing de Santander in this match.