Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.