Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.